Investigation on the Impact of Agricultural Water Use to the Benefit and Risk of Regional Water Supply under Climate Change
|關鍵字:||系統動力學;農業需求;區域水資源;氣候變遷;System Dynamic;Agriculture Demand;Regional Water Resource;Climate Change|
Conventionally, the agriculture uses most of the total water supply in Taiwan. The social development and be a member of WTO are forcing the agriculture sector to reduce their water use and transfer the saved water to other water use sectors such as industry and domestic. Beside, recently investigation have indicated that the global climate change have impacted the regional hydrology and water resources. Transferring agriculture water use to other sectors is one of the potentially feasible strategies to reduce the impact of global climate change on regional water supply. However, because of the complicated interaction among the water use sectors and water sources, the impact and benefit of transferring the agriculture water to other sectors are also very complex. Therefore, a more efficient method is necessary for accessing the uncertainty and risk of increasing water supply and financial benefits of other sectors by transferring agriculture water。 This research is to access the benefit and risk of transferring the agriculture water to other water use sectors considering the impact of global climate change, and a regional water allocation model based on system dynamic theory is developed to facilitate the analysis.
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